CHAPTER 15 Marco Armando1,2, Franco De Crescenzo1 and Maximilian Birchwood3 1 Child and Adolescence Neuropsychiatry Unit, Department of Neuroscience, Children Hospital Bambino Gesù, Rome, Italy 2 School of Psychology, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham, UK 3 YouthSpace; University of Warwick, UK Since the beginning of the twentieth century, several authors called attention to the need for early diagnosis and intervention in psychosis [1]. Ultimately, the early intervention model and subsequent early intervention services (EISs) in the first episode of psychosis (FEP) and in ultrahigh-risk states (UHR), were actually developed and put into practice between the end of the 1980s and the beginning of the 1990s. During these years this movement grew theoretically, methodologically and as an increasingly widely applied clinical experience. Indeed, starting from the 1990s, we see the birth of EIS specialised in management of FEP and UHR. Starting in Finland [2], almost simultaneously in England [3] and Australia [4], studies of these services spread to the United States, Asia and many other European nations. The progressive increase of EIS, alongside of a world-wide state of imbalance between available resources and therapeutic interventions [5], slowly led to a progressive modification in community mental health services (CMHSs), with a strong development of the EIS model specialised in different psychiatric disorders, especially for FEP [6], instead of the generic CMHS model. This progressive shifting can be explained by evidence showing that CMHSs are characterised by a delay in taking charge of individuals with psychotic onset [7], a feeling of demoralization and shock on the part of individuals causing a higher drop-out rate, and a major focus on tertiary prevention rather than secondary and primary prevention [6]. Moreover, the effectiveness of EIS has been demonstrated by a recent systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials (RCTs) [8]. It is already in current guidelines (e.g. www.nice.org.uk), and it has been proved to reduce costs and thus to be cost-effective [9]. Even though this unambiguously strong international evidence of both the persistent effectiveness and the economic advantages of the EIS model, several authors [10, 11] argue against a further development of EIS, mainly because of concerns about the continuity of care and the need to engage some individuals in long-term therapeutic relationships. Notwithstanding, they provide no evidence in support of retaining the CMHS alone. Taking off from these discordant opinions, this chapter seeks to provide a clear description of the worldwide discussion regarding the desirability of a further development of EIS as against CMHS. In particular, the aim of this chapter is the following. Early intervention in psychosis (EIP) is not a recent idea and delaying/preventing young people from psychosis has always been an aspiration. Indeed, throughout during the twentieth century the prospect and practicality of identifying subjects in the prodromal phase of schizophrenia was debated. The prodromal symptoms and signs were pointed out, but they were extremely non-specific and not useful from a clinical point of view. For example, E. Bleuler (1911) [12] maintained that it was not possible to talk about prodromes, because nearly every symptom can be a forerunner of schizophrenia and at the beginning, when the symptom appears, it is impossible to predict accurately the future evolution of the disease. Nevertheless, Bleuler himself, and many other psychiatrists of the past century, thought early intervention offered the only possibility to improve the outcome of psychotic disorders, even though individual symptoms were not specific enough. Many other authors (i.e. [1, 13–19]) agreed that psychotic onset should be considered a culmination of an evolving illness. In this chorus of unanimous voices, two eminent psychiatrists struck a discordant note. Schneider and Jaspers in fact, thought that schizophrenia was independent of a premorbid personality, and that it was impossible to detect a pattern of prodromal symptoms. This was the prevailing position during the 1960s, also due to a widespread transition taking place from qualitative to quantitative studies in psychiatry. With the attempt to align psychiatry to other medical disciplines [20] and the consequent development of DSM-III [21], American psychiatry progressively lost interest in conditions with minimal symptomatic expressions and prodromal stages. The limited space reserved for prodromal symptoms in schizophrenia in the DSM-III, disappears completely in the DSM-IV [22], where the possibility of prodromal phases subsists only for cluster A personality disorders. Classic psychopathologists’ research was eclipsed by the pressing need for a valid and widely shared diagnostic system, which can unify and enable comprehension of professionals worldwide. The return to a Kraepelinian model, which requires clear and evident psychotic signs and symptoms exhibited for an extended period before a formal diagnosis, closed the debate on prodromal forms of schizophrenia. In the 1960s, two research areas developed, both proving to be extremely useful for an evaluation of prodromal phase and schizophrenia prevention: the work of James Chapman et al. [23] on psychotic-like experiences (PLEs) in the United States and the research of Gerd Huber [16] on basic symptoms in Germany. Regarding PLEs, Chapman [23] and other colleagues like Gillies [24], Meehl [25], etc. hypothesised a continuum in the disease, which evolves progressively from the initial phases to frank psychosis. Huber [16], instead, supported the idea of the existence of ‘basic’ symptoms, which are mild subclinical and subjective symptoms involving instincts, affect, stress tolerance, thought, language, perception and motility. What is new in the last 20 years is the attempt to find subjects at risk and to treat them at an earlier stage of the disorder. This paradigm shift entails a new approach to mental illness, particularly schizophrenia. At the beginning of the 1990s, as we highlighted in the previous paragraph, the Kraepelinian model, which had dominated during the century and established the basis for the new psychiatric nosology (DSM), was contested. The neo-Kraepelinian model fallacy, McGorry says, is to posit a double bond between the disorder and its effects, the symptoms and signs and the diagnosis and prognosis, whereas psychosis psychopathology, in fact, is more fluid [26]. The connection between signs and symptoms, diagnosis and prognosis is much weaker and this opens the possibility for a secondary prevention of psychosis that is considered impossible or implausible in the neo-Kraepelinian model. Within this paradigm shift, in the last decade researchers have tried to identify subjects ‘at risk’ and to intervene early in psychotic disorders [27]. Indeed, the poor predictability of prodromal symptoms has led to the application of a technique, which aims to refine diagnostic capacities and is already widely used in general medicine: the so-called ‘close-in’ strategy. This strategy consists in identifying the co-presence of many prodromal symptoms, a state–trait model that permits us to better identify cases at risk with a subsequent reduction of false positives. This type of evaluation method, first theorised and applied in Australia and the United Kingdom [27, 28], has also been utilised by many other research groups [29–32] in order to be able to offer a quick and specific response to the first signs or symptoms of the disease and to delay/prevent the psychotic onset [33]. The problem of early symptoms of psychosis is also very important because most young people who need help do not turn spontaneously to a CMHS [34]. Following and in coherence with the paradigm shift described above, an EIS specialised in management of FEP and UHR began to develop in the 1990s. These services developed roughly in parallel in England [3] and Australia [4], and spread to many other European nations, the United States of America, Canada, Singapore, Hong Kong and Japan. This model shift has become increasingly popular and has been applied in a number of countries. The main reason for this ‘success’ is the perception of the need for EIS instead of CMHS, since CMHSs were not structured to effectively engage and respond to the special needs of young individuals at their psychotic onset. In the following paragraph we will describe the most important targets on which early intervention focuses and how EIS try to address their interventions specifically to these targets. EIP is now facing an urgent problem that is paradigmatic with psychiatry and all medicine. Is it better to adopt a specialised service which can be more focused on a specific disorder, or is it perhaps better not to divert precious money from generalist services? To assess this, it is very important to study the effectiveness of treatment – rather than merely the efficacy – and its cost-effectiveness. In accordance with evidence from several studies [2, 4, 27] (see Table 15.1), in the late 1990s, specific EIS for FEP were developed mainly to offer a more effective answer to three key elements which strongly influence the outcome of psychotic disorders and which were not adequately addressed by CMHS [35]: Table 15.1 How deep are early intervention service roots? Core evidence for the development of EIS Evidence A: RCT or cohort study; Evidence B: Retrospective Cohort, Exploratory Cohort or case-control study; Evidence C: Case-series study; Evidence D: Expert opinion. In this paragraph we focus our attention on the above-mentioned three key elements. In the following paragraphs, we will then describe the results of the main trials conducted to date aimed at investigating which of the two models (i.e. EIS vs. CMHS) is more effective and sustainable in preventing/reducing the burden caused by psychotic disorders. Finally, in this period of limited resources available for mental health, we will briefly describe the available evidence regarding cost comparison between EIS and CMHS. If we detect early signs and symptoms we may hope to delay, or even totally prevent, the development of a full-blown psychosis. This surely represents the most alluring and promising, although controversial, aspect of the field. Intervening in the prodromal phase means intercepting the subject in the period in which signs and symptoms of distress are present, without a real experience of psychotic rupture having taken place. However, since prodromal symptoms are nonspecific, the diagnosis is particularly difficult and the number of false positives is high and remains high [36], even though sensitive criteria have been developed to measure a condition at high risk of transition to psychotic onset. In the European Prediction of Psychosis Study (EPOS), a European, multicenter and prospective study, the combination of attenuated psychotic symptoms (APS) and cognitive basic symptoms (COGDIS) showed the best indication of risk to develop a psychosis in the following 18 months, with 48% of evolution rate [37]. Nevertheless, this means that in half of the at-risk subjects, psychosis does not emerge in the following 18 months. A recent meta-analysis [36] shows that the risk to develop a psychotic episode in a cohort of UHR subjects is 18% at 6 months, 22% at 1 year, 29% at 2 years and 32% at 3 years. Guidelines for interventions in prodromal phases [35] support evaluating and taking charge of individuals with at-risk mental states, who ask for help. They should be followed over time. They should be offered psychological support together with treatment for specific symptoms such as depression, anxiety and substance abuse and should be assisted with eventual interpersonal, family and professional difficulties. Psychoeducational interventions are useful to develop coping strategies regarding subthreshold psychotic symptoms, together with supportive interventions and family psychoeducation. Treatment with antipsychosis medication at low doses is not indicated with the exception of people at high risk of suicide, rapid psychosocial deterioration or aggressive behaviours. When indicated and effective in the first 6 weeks, with the individual’s consent, pharmacological treatment can be continued for 6 months to 2 years. A gradual dosage reduction up to the minimum effective dose is recommended or, in some cases, an interruption of pharmacological treatment after 2 years in a consenting and responsive patient. When an antipsychosis medication is not effective, the administration of a different, second generation one is recommended. When the subject does not ask for help spontaneously, it is possible to get in touch with family and friends. Evidence that these interventions are effective in reducing transition to frank psychosis is preliminary for now [38]. Further studies are needed to document the effectiveness of these interventions on the course of the illness. Indeed, the risk/benefit ratio of early intervention in UHR is still unclear and the hypothesis of introducing a ‘psychosis risk syndrome’ (PRS) in the next DSM-V [39] stimulated a wide debate. At the present time, many researchers believe that introducing a PRS diagnosis in the DSM-V would be premature, mainly because of the significant heterogeneity of UHR subjects, their different clinical needs and prognosis [36]. It would be premature also since there is a lack of research confirming the reliability of standardised procedures for diagnosis, and this does not permit diagnostic validity. Biological and neuropsychological parameters should also be taken into consideration as a support to diagnosis. Only once research is able to provide answers to these questions will it be possible to include the diagnosis of PRS in DSM-V [37]. On the other hand, some authors support the inclusion of PRS diagnosis in DSM-V arguing that individuals with UHR are already ill and with poor functioning and are at high risk to worsen [40]. Moreover, DSM-IV diagnostic criteria are not specific for this condition [41]. There is broad agreement though, on the important role of research over the coming years to clarify the matter and to finally identify and treat subjects at-risk of psychosis. Despite these different positions regarding UHR criteria and PRS, there is sufficient agreement about the desirability of early intervention for UHR. The main issue regards how this early intervention should be provided. Since CMHSs are not focused on prevention, EIS for UHR are more effective in providing the specific multidisciplinary treatments suggested by international guidelines. Nevertheless, several authors [10, 11] suggest that the EIS model can pathologise normal developmental processes and lead to over-medicalization. This is not a minor question since it is not ethically acceptable to run the risk of treating people who are not really ill. Moreover, we know that PLEs are present in a large percentage of the population [42]. To avoid treating false positives, two main precautions have been developed: In conclusion, EIS is offered only to the help-seeking, distressed individuals whose psychotic symptoms would be considered too mild to be considered ‘properly’ psychotic. Timely detection of psychotic onset allows to reduce the duration of untreated psychosis (DUP), that is the time between the onset of positive psychotic symptoms and the initiation of appropriate treatment. Much evidence supports the view that the longer the time in which a person lives in a situation of frank psychosis without being treated, the worse is the progression and prognosis of the illness. DUP reduction is very important for short- and medium-term outcome [43]. A short DUP is linked to a better response to antipsychosis medication treatment [44] and better social and professional functioning [45ߝ47]. As a consequence of the reduction in DUP, individuals have a better response to treatment since they present less severe positive and negative symptoms and better social functioning than cases with long DUP [48]. The relationship between treatment delay and poor outcome has been clearly established [43, 44]. As we will highlight in this chapter, CMHSs are more often related to a consistent treatment delay as compared to EIS [49], and this supports the idea that specialised pathways to care can reduce DUP and consequently improve outcome. The critical period (CP) is the period of time between 3 and 5 years that follows psychotic onset [27]. The years immediately following the psychotic onset are considered crucial in terms of prognosis [27, 50, 51], and what occurs in this phase can determine the following progression and prognosis of the disorder. In fact, during CP a dramatic progression towards a massive deterioration in social and cognitive skills occurs. This deterioration, once established, reduces the effectiveness of interventions. Indeed, the course of psychosis is characterised by a rapid deterioration in the first period, following which it reaches a plateau where it stabilises without any further worsening or improvement. It is necessary, therefore, to intervene as soon as possible to reduce or prevent psychosocial deterioration. As we indicated above, the crucial period is 3 to 5 years after the first psychotic episode [35, 52] and all international guidelines suggest continuous, intensive and assertive interventions during this phase. It is very important to treat the patient on time and continuously, since after the psychotic onset there is a high risk of relapse, severe disability and increased suicide risk. The entire family should be supported by psychoeducational group therapy. Psychological and psychosocial treatments should be the key elements during the CP to reduce positive and negative symptoms, to face eventual comorbidities and to promote social recovery. Treatment with antipsychosis medications must be accurately monitored to achieve the minimum therapeutic dose in order to reduce side effects that prevent recovery (weight gain, sexual dysfunctions and sedation) [35]. If, on the one hand, EISs are specifically developed to provide intensive and assertive intervention focalised in the CP, on the other hand some criticism of this approach has been voiced, since some authors argue that only individuals who fulfil the DSM-IV B (marked social deterioration) and C (duration of illness of at least 6 months) criteria for schizophrenia should be treated with this intensive model [10]. Although the position regarding treatment should be as conservative as possible, we should be aware that those criteria encourage delayed intervention which is harmful to health, especially in a population like this one, at high risk of death by suicide during the CP. Bosanac et al. [10] and Lodge [11] among others highlight another disadvantage arguing against a further development of EIS at the expense of CMHS. In accordance with this position, the EIS model still has to confirm its efficacy on long-term outcomes, and problems concerning the modality of discharge and transition to CMHS of individuals previously followed under EIS are noted. More in general, several authors [10, 11] argue that reallocating available resources from community to specialised services will lead to the failure of well-established services that manage a broad range of clients. However, they provide no evidence in support of these arguments. Conversely, we concur with Killaspy [53]: ‘This progressive discipline (psychiatry) must be responsive to its expanding evidence base’. What do RCTs tell us then about these arguments? Here we will briefly describe some of the most significant randomised studies aimed at verifying the efficacy of the EIS model as compared to standard care. Indeed the Lambeth Early Onset (LEO) trial, the OPUS trial and the treatment and intervention in psychosis (TIPS) trial represent the most significant evidence regarding the opportunity of further development of the EIS model. Apart from these three trials, two other trials: Croydon Outreach and Assertive Support Team (COAST) and Optimal Treatment Project (OTP), evaluated standard care versus EIS, finding the latter more effective in all cases. Results have been pooled together in two different meta-analyses [8, 54] and in a Cochrane systematic review [55]. The LEO trial [56] is a randomised clinical trial conducted in the United Kingdom to evaluate the effects, in terms of drop-out and hospitalization rates, of an EIS compared to CMHS during 18 months in individuals with FEP. The main study published by this research group [56], on a population of 144 first admitted individuals with non-affective psychosis (F20-29 for DSM-IV), after 18 months, shows how specialised care is more effective in reducing dropout, hospitalization rate and relapses. Individuals treated by EIS were also better in terms of social and vocational functioning, satisfaction, quality of life and medication adherence (see Table 15.2). Table 15.2 Main studies comparing early intervention services to community mental health teams EIS = early intervention service; CMHT = community mental health team; FEP = first-episode psychosis; ED = early detection; PANSS = positive and negative syndrome scale; GAF = global assessment of functioning scale; OR = odds ratio; RR = risk ratio; SAPS = Scale for assessment of positive symptoms; SANS = scale for assessment of negative symptoms In a second phase of LEO trial, stability of improvement achieved was verified in the long term after discharge from specialised care and readmission in standard care. Data published relative to a 5-year follow-up [57], highlight a progressive loss of improvement after discharge. Markers of efficacy, in fact, seem to decline in the long term after admission in standard care. These data underline the difficulty of services using a generalist intervention model to maintain the same efficacy of early onset teams (see Table 15.2). A larger randomised clinical trial, called OPUS [58], was run in Denmark on 547 individuals with first-episode psychosis. Trial design considered clinical evaluation of the effects (level of reduction of negative and positive symptoms) of specialised care based on the early intervention model in psychotic onset (assertive community Treatment, family care and social skills training), compared with standard care from territory psychiatry. Specialised care lasted 2 years with assessment after the first and second years. After one year individuals presented a significant reduction of positive (mean difference between groups = –0.31; 95% CI = –0.55 –0.07; p = 0.02) and negative symptoms (mean difference between groups = –0.36; 95% CI = –0.54 –0.17; p < 0.001). The same results were confirmed after 2 years. Beyond these primary markers, the experimental group had less comorbidity with substance abuse, better treatment adherence and greater level of satisfaction (see Table 15.2). As in the LEO trial, also in this case a follow-up after 5 years was carried out [59] to determine the stability of improvement achieved after discharge from specialised care and 3 years of standard care. Results, similar to those of the LEO trial, highlighted a progressive equalization in terms of positive and negative symptoms between the experimental and control groups, although maintaining a lower hospitalization rate and better autonomous, independent living (see Table 15.2). On the basis of these results, the Copenhagen research group decided to start a second phase of the OPUS II trial [60] that extends specialised care for three further years, to determine whether extension of treatment for the length of the CP [61] allows a stabilization of the improvements achieved. To date the OPUS trial represents probably the most solid evidence in favour of EIS. Indeed, it was rated as having an overall low risk of bias by the latest Cochrane review [55]. However, it did not provide a blinding of outcome assessment after 2 years, which may have led to an overestimation of effect. OPUS II trial will have less methodological bias than OPUS I, since a blinded outcome assessment is assured [60] and hopefully will address the remaining doubts on EIS effectiveness. The TIPS trial was conducted in Norway and Denmark on 281 individuals [62]. It is not randomised and is slightly different from those already discussed. In fact, both experimental and control groups were under the same treatment (the same algorithm was used for low-dosage second generation antipsychosis medications, individual psychosocial interventions and family psychoeducation). The difference consisted in a massive awareness raising campaign for the entire population, general practitioners, social workers and access to care was easier, thanks to a toll-free number. Initial results showed the efficacy of this intervention: the experimental group had a significant DUP reduction (5 weeks vs. 16 weeks) and a better clinical condition at baseline and after 3 months [62] (see Table 15.2). The experimental group also maintained a greater reduction for positive, negative and depressive symptoms with a better neurocognitive functioning at follow-up after 2 [63] and 5 years [64]. This study is the only one with a long-term follow-up of about 10 years and the results have recently been published [65]. They highlight how the experimental group remains more effective than the control group for functional recovery, underlining how these data can prove a link between early intervention and prognosis (see Table 15.2). The TIPS study demonstrates the need for early detection programs and provides a strong rationale for the implementation of EIS, arguing also that a reorganization of the existing CMHS in this direction is very unlikely. In the present historical period, in which resources are limited and it is imperative to stick to the budget, it is fundamental to evaluate the economic burden of EIS and compare it with those of the services that are already available. This evaluation should consider all cost variables derived from the illness, which means direct costs (directly attributable to medical care), indirect costs and, where possible, the so-called intangible or psychosocial costs (see [66, 67]). In this direction some studies have compared specialised care for early psychosis using standard services by cost-effectiveness analysis. McCrone et al. [68] recently published a study on costs and cost-effectiveness regarding the LEO trial. Clinical variables and direct costs were measured relative to care management of individuals at accrual and then after 6 and 18 months. At the same time, information on quality of life and work re-engagement was gathered to evaluate cost-benefit. Relative to total direct costs, no statistically significant difference appeared between individuals in the specialised care branch as compared with those in standard care branch (£11.685 vs. £14.062). Cost-benefit analysis was clearly in favour of specialised care, showing a better clinical outcome with equal costs. In Australia, Mihalopoulos et al. [69] verified a reduction of direct costs in areas where an EIS was instituted, due to reduction of inpatient costs, especially in the medium-long term, after the service is fully operational [70]. Another interesting study highlights a reduction of direct costs and an improvement of the cost-benefit ratio after the institution of EIS for psychosis. Valmaggia et al. [9], in fact, analyzed the costs of their service allocated in south London, showing that costs do not differ from standard care in the first 12 months, but at 18 months a significant reduction begins to appear. Robust evidence of this cost reduction comes from a recent study [71], where it is estimated that over a 3-year period an EIS for FEP saves the NHS £15.862 per person with first-episode psychosis when compared to standard services. That is a potential £119 million saving for the NHS. In summary, studies published up until now highlight a lack of increase, if not a downright reduction, of direct costs, with an improvement in the cost-benefit ratio. Since the end of the 1990s, a number of randomised clinical trials that compare the efficacy of early intervention with traditional services have been published. In synthesis we can state that we have enough evidence that EIS, compared to traditional ones, significantly affect several variables (see also Box 15.1):
Early Intervention Services versus Generic Community Mental Health Services: A Paradigm Shift
Historical background
The origins of psychosis prevention
A paradigm shift
The birth of EIS
The rationale behind EIS
Psychotic onsets invariably present with a prodromal phase of functional decline. [Evidence type B]
Shortening duration of untreated psychosis (DUP) correlates with better outcome. [Evidence type A]
Disability sets in early: peaks or plateaus within 3 years from the onset. [Evidence type B]
The outcome at 3 years predicts the outcome in the longer term. [Evidence type A]
Higher suicide risk during the first 5 years after psychotic onset. [Evidence type B]
Early detection of individuals with UHR state
Early intervention in first-episode psychosis
The ‘critical period’
EIS versus CMHS: randomised controlled trials
Lambeth early onset
Study
Randomisation
Participants
Intervention
Results
Follow-up
LEO
Craig 2004 Gafoor 2010
+
144 FEP non-affective psychosis
71 EIS versus 73 CMHT
5 years follow-up
Early intervention service based on principles of assertive outreach including psychosocial interventions
versus
services offered by local community mental health teams.
Individuals in early intervention service group compared with community mental health teams had significant lower rates of relapse, readmission and drop-out.
Five-year data from the follow-up did not highlight significant differences between groups of treatment.
OPUS
Petersen 2005 Bertelsen 2008
+
547 FEP non-affective psychosis
275 EIS versus 272 CMHT
5-years follow-up
Early intervention service based on assertive community treatment, family intervention and social skills training
versus
services offered by local community mental health teams.
Significantly fewer people left early by 1 year in the early intervention service group compared with the standard care group
(RR 0.59).
GAF, SAPS, SANS endpoint scores significantly favored the early intervention service.
Five-year data from the follow-up did not highlight significant differences between groups of treatment.
TIPS
Melle 2004 Melle 2008 Hegelstad 2012
−
281 non-affective psychosis first treatment
141 ED area versus 140 non ED area
2- and 10-years follow-up
Early detection program
versus
non-early detection program.
Same treatment between groups: low dosage second generation antipsychosis medication, individual psychosocial interventions, family psychoeducation.
Duration of untreated psychosis was significantly shorter for individuals in ED areas (median 5 weeks) compared with individuals from non-ED areas (median 16 weeks). At start of treatment the PANSS was better for individuals from the ED area and this result was maintained at 3 months.
A significantly higher percentage of individuals in ED areas had recovered at 2 and 10 years of follow-up and a higher drop-out rate was observed in individuals in non-ED areas.
OPUS
Treatment and intervention in psychosis
Cost-effectiveness
Discussion: specialist early intervention service teams compared with generic CMHS teams