Thrombolytic Therapy for Acute Stroke and the Test of Time



Fig. 9.1
These bars illustrate the NIHSS and Barthel Index results for 49 patients greater than age 75 and presenting with NIHSS greater than 22 before treatment (Adapted from Subgroup Analysis of the NINDS t-PA Stroke Trial. Generalized efficacy of t-PA for acute stroke. Subgroup analysis of the NINDS t-PA Stroke Trial. Stroke. 1997 Nov;28(11):2119–25)





The Positive Results Have Been Confirmed Using Other Protocols, Other Drugs


Since the original report of the NINDS t-PA Stroke Trial, there have now been published additional confirmations of the value of thrombolytic therapy for stroke including the pro-urokinase trial that was discussed above. In the first report of the European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study (ECASS), there was no statistically significant benefit for t-PA. Upon re-analysis, however, using the data methods developed for the NINDS study, a clear benefit was seen: the global odds ratio for favorable outcome was 1.5 (95 % CI 1.1–2.0, p = 0.008) [47]. Further, in ECASS, most patients were enrolled within 6 h of stroke onset, but 87 patients were enrolled within the 3-h time limit used in the NINDS study [48]. The global odds ratio for favorable outcome was 2.3 (95 % CI 0.9–5.3, p = 0.07), which is not statistically significant due to the small sample size. To examine these potentially positive findings further, a confirmatory study was conducted (ECASS II) [49]. The primary endpoint of this study, the global odds ratio for a favorable outcome (score of 0 or 1) on the modified Rankin Scale, was negative. However, there were significantly more patients who scored well on the Rankin (score of 0, 1 or 2) in the t-PA treated (54.3 %) versus placebo treated (46.0 %) patients, (p = 0.024). In this trial there were quite conservative inclusion criteria, resulting in an excess of mild patients in the study. For this reason, the beneficial effect of t-PA could have been diluted, resulting in lower statistical power.

The results of the European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study (ECASS III) provided persuasive evidence that thrombolytic therapy is safe and effective for acute stroke victims [50]. The rationale for ECASS III arose from a pooled analysis of several prior studies with differing time windows for enrollment [51]. Analyses from the resulting pooled sample size suggested potential benefit of thrombolysis beyond 3 h from symptom onset and ECASS III was designed to confirm this hypothesis. The design of ECASS III closely mirrored that of the original NINDS trial of rt-PA for Acute Stroke, the most important exception being that ECASS III enrolled patients who presented between 3 and 4.5 h after symptom onset. ECASS III patients also tended to be less severe, and less frequently diabetic, so outcomes in the placebo group were somewhat better than in the NINDS trial. In ECASS III, although the odds ratio for benefit was lower than in prior trials—due to the later time window—there remained a significant benefit favoring thrombolytic therapy.

As the ECASS III authors point out, however, neither these new randomized controlled results, nor the previous pooled analysis, suggest that the ideal window for using acute thrombolytic therapy is 4.5 h from stroke onset, because we know that the potential for neurologic rescue declines monotonically with every passing minute [52]. From the moment the patient arrives at the door every minute counts, and the only justifiable delays would be for brain imaging to exclude hemorrhage, and a few simple lab tests [53]. It is very clear that our focus must remain on the door-to-needle time: every minute matters during a stroke [36, 54].

Seeking to study the effect of rt-PA in stroke patients who do not fit the accepted criteria, or who are treated in previously inexperienced centers, a group of investigators at Edinburgh organized a trial in the late 1990s, named the “International Stroke Trial.” Since two previous trials shared the name IST—one of aspirin for stroke and the other for a neuroprotectant—the trial became known as the IST-3 [55, 56]. Originally planned for a sample size of 6,000 patients, IST-3 was designed to be the largest acute stroke trial ever attempted [56]. The trial was planned as a “large simple” trial, seeking power by simplifying protocols and reducing data collection to a bare minimum. After enrolling 3,035 patients from 156 hospitals in 12 countries the study closed in March 2011. An mRS from a questionnaire or telephone call was derived by a centralized researcher, unaware of the patient’s treatment group, after calling the patient or family member 6 months after stroke. The IST-3 investigators used the “uncertainty principle” to augment enrollment of patients after selecting patients for treatment using the selection criteria from the package insert: “Further inclusion and exclusion criteria are not specified precisely but are guided by the uncertainty principle (or absence of proof for that particular patient). If, for whatever reason, the clinician is convinced that a patient fulfilling the above criteria should be treated, the patient should be treated with rt-PA and NOT randomised. If the clinician is convinced that a patient should not be treated (for whatever reason), the patient should NOT be included in the trial. Patients should only be randomised if they fulfill the eligibility criteria AND the clinician is substantially uncertain about the balance of risks and benefits of rt-PA for that individual.” By the end of the trial, 350 patients (13 %) were enrolled into the IST-3 trial who could have been treated with rt-PA under currently accepted license criteria. Unfortunately, no data is available regarding the number of patients with rt-PA outside the study who did NOT meet the license criteria. With the above facts in mind, the data from IST-3 shows that the main (i.e. overall) effect across 0–6 h was positive, confirming what we know: rtPA is useful when administered earlier and to appropriate patients [29]. Among patients treated after 4.5 h—the trial included 1,007 (33 %) patients treated in this late window—benefit was likewise confirmed.

IST 3 provided large numbers of patients to consider several key sub-groups. Aged patients were enrolled: 1,407 (46 %) of the patients were aged 81–90 and 210 (7 %) were over aged 90 years. Previous data from the NINDS trial, which included about 50 aged patients, suggested a diminished but definite treatment benefit (Fig. 9.1) [39]. IST-3 data confirmed a powerful and significant benefit of rt-PA in patients over the age of 80 years. The IST-3 data also confirmed the low risk and considerable benefit of other so-called “off-label” use, such as use in very mild patients. Significantly, the IST-3 results demonstrated through benefit and safety data the effect of inexperience on thrombolytic therapy benefit and risk—results were similar across all sites and all levels of expertise.

While tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) is safe and highly effective for acute ischemic stroke, it is far from perfect. A number of new-generation thrombolytics have been tested, including microplasmin, desmoteplase, reteplase, and tenecteplase. TNK type rt-PA is as effective in vivo as wild type. Due the longer plasma half life the drug can be administered as a bolus without the need for a prolonged infusion [57]. In vitro, thrombolytic potency is 85 % that of wild type rt-PA [58]. Confirming predictions, TNK proved highly effective compared to rt-PA using a validated animal model [59, 60]. Using a different model TNK appeared to cause fewer hemorrhagic transformations than rt-PA [61]. In stroke patients, a pilot, dose escalation study included four dose tiers: 0.1, 0.2, 0.4, and 0.5 mg/kg TNK, found similar outcomes and reduced hemorrhage rates compared to standard dose rt-PA [62]. To further test the overall safety of TNK in stroke patients NINDS funded a large Phase 2 trial to include a comparison of 0.1, 0.25 and 0.4 mg/kg TNK against standard dose rt-PA. After 112 patients were enrolled the study was stopped without a definitive signal of either safety or efficacy [63]. A pilot study [20] and recently expanded dataset (n = 75) conducted by investigators at the University of Newcastle tested 0.1 and 0.25 mg/kg TNK against standard dose rt-PA [64]. In a larger confirmatory trial, TNK treatment appeared to produce higher rates of recanalization, greater frequency of beneficial outcome, and lower rates of sICH, compared to rt-PA [65].


The Cost of Demagoguery


There are about 750,000 new strokes every year in the United States [66]. Of these, about 85 % or about 635,000 are ischemic. It is widely reported that only 3–5 % of all ischemic strokes receive rt-PA [67] but in reality the proportion is closer to 25 % in well-organized stroke centers [68, 69]. About half of the US population lives within a reasonable distance of such centers, i.e., a travel time short enough to allow thrombolytic therapy [70]. Let’s assume therefore that about 317,500 stroke patients were near enough to a stroke center that they could have been treated, and that 20 % of them, or about 63,500 would have been treated had the ED physicians been organized and ready to treat. The first full year of drug approval was in 1997 since rt-PA received approval for use in stroke patients in June of 1996. The national body speaking for most ED physicians, the American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) issued a joint statement in 2012 with the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) endorsing the use of rt-PA for acute stroke [71]. The truly remarkable thing about this joint statement was that ACEP was essentially retracting an earlier statement that—while not opposing the treatment—seemed to suggest the treatment was in some way optional. Specifically, the ACEP statement contained the phrase that ED MDs were under no obligation to offer rt-PA to acute stroke victims if they did not have the training to do so. By comparison, the AAN, American Heart Association, and other organizations were urging physicians to become trained, and courses such as the one described in this textbook were available. As mentioned in the introduction to this chapter, newsletter writers were spreading untruths about the study among the ED physician community. Some of these distortions found their way into reputable journals [72]. So between 1997 and 2012 the ED physicians in the US were unsure whether the drug should be used or not. During these 15 years, a minimum of 63,500 patients per year, or 952,500 patients, could have been treated, assuming early adoption at stroke centers. About half of all patients treated with rt-PA for acute stroke enjoy a full, complete resolution of their deficits, so about 476,250 Americans remain disabled today due to the publications and opinions of a few demagogues who promoted untruths and myths about rt-PA; the remainder would have been improved significantly but not free of any disability. In 1996 the lifetime cost of an ischemic stroke was estimated to be $90,981, so very conservatively, these newsletter commentators cost the United States over $43 billion dollars, unadjusted for inflation since 1996.

Would all stroke centers have adopted rt-PA early? We will never know, but the estimates here are very conservative and likely the use of rt-PA would have been farther and faster than even these estimates. There can be now doubt however, that even if the demagogues cost only one stroke patient the opportunity for a full and able-bodied recovery, they have cost us all too much. It is one thing to rationally and intelligently question a new therapy in medicine, as Dr. Caplan did for us in the first two editions of this textbook. It is quite another thing, however, to eloquently persuade well intentioned ED physicians that the entire approval process for rt-PA—from the NIH, to the investigators, to the FDA—was somehow tainted by corporate influence and other mistakes [6, 7]. The data from the NINDS trial have withstood multiple tests by independent statisticians and commentators [73]. The main findings have been replicated many times. Dr. Caplan and other critics were proved wrong, and as good scientists, have stated so. The newsletter publishers and self-appointed “experts” have never recanted or acknowledged their errors, and they continue to publish their for-profit newsletters.


Conclusions


The data collected and analyzed during the past several years suggest that thrombolytic stroke therapy withstands the test of time. The benefits persist over the long term, and are realized by clinically active neurologists practicing in typical community settings. Several groups have confirmed the value of thrombolytic stroke therapy when given within 3 h of stroke onset; pooled analysis shows that treatment between 3 and 6 h after stroke is of some benefit, and lacks significantly increased risk compared to under 3-h treatment [51]. No specific subgroup can be found at particularly increased risk or benefit, suggesting that the original guidelines for selecting patients must be followed. Yet, the success of thrombolytic therapy, even at a distance of a few years, still raises a number of questions. Did we test the right dose and timing of drug administration? Might other thrombolytic drugs, or other dosing schedules, prove more beneficial? How can we increase the success rate to something greater than 50 %? Will neuroprotectants add benefit or reduce risk, when combined with thrombolytic therapy? How do we extend the time limit, without increasing the numbers of pointless treatments? Most importantly, what can be done to educate more patients and potential stroke-witnesses about the signs of stroke and the need for immediate medical attention?

Thrombolytic stroke therapy represents something of a novel situation for clinically active neurologists. Heretofore, the general strategy in neurology has been to minimize disability while doing no harm. It is a rare situation when the active neurologist must choose a therapy that has side effects but also has a net benefit: The first therapy for stroke is also the first therapy for which neurologists must urgently present difficult choices to patients and families for an immediate decision. Without question, this is an uncomfortable situation for all. However, now that the results of the NINDS t-PA study have been well digested, criticized, confirmed, supplemented with additional data, and diffused widely, it is time to take this bull by the horns. Although more and more stroke patients receive thrombolytic therapy, it is still true that a majority of eligible patients do not receive it. The dictum primum no nocere still applies: we must do no harm, either by actively committing an act or by withholding a proven therapy through inaction.


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Apr 21, 2017 | Posted by in NEUROLOGY | Comments Off on Thrombolytic Therapy for Acute Stroke and the Test of Time

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